REALTIME DISASTER BLOG: 10/23/11

Saturday, October 29, 2011

Three for the show: Assessing the potential effects of Comets Elenin, Levy and Honda

The Millennium Group
Tue, 18 Oct 2011 16:12 CDT

Three For The Show Pt.1

August 16, 2011

Intro

I sat down today with the full intention of writing about the comet Elenin. I started my research, first speaking with my very close friend and associate, Raymond Ward. He's incredibly informed and talented. I went through page after page on the Internet. The comments and the conclusions about these three comets that are coming put me over the top. I know, I know... We have published some pretty over the top kind of material ourselves. But we were really one of the first sites to challenge the status quo on the Internet. So what. Anyway...

One site was very slick, cool looking and had a lot of opinions; a beautifully designed and organized page. Another belonged to a former TMG friend/member, not very well done. But... well... I was going to write something very crass and very nasty... But I'll keep my boundaries intact! I'll let his design and conclusion stand for themselves and like we always say, 'you decide for yourself'! Anyway...

If you're reading this page, you are more likely than not going to be a return visitor. So you know more than the usual reader concerning comets and astronomy (but if you're new, welcome! read on!). But let me cut to the chase, save you some time, give you the facts and let you deal with what I've got to say. Here are the particulars we have seen:

1) Comets Elenin,
2) Dramatic increase in the number of earthquakes
3) Dramatic increase in the number of strong earthquakes
4) Elenin positions and EQ dates coincide
5) We have been documenting clashes in our upper atmosphere
6) There has been some evidence larger ships have been over EQ sites
7) It now appears that there are three comets coming into a "conjunction" in the very near future

5.1 Magnitude Earthquake SANTA CRUZ ISLANDS - 29th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.1 earthquake has struck the Santa Cruz Islands at a depth of 58.1 km ( 36.1 miles), the quake hit at 00:57:21 UTC Saturday 29th October 2011.
The epicenter was 90 km ( 55 miles) West of Lata, Santa Cruz Islands, Solomon Islands

5.4 Magnitude Earthquake SERAM, INDONESIA - 28th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.4 earthquake has struck Serum, Indonesia at a depth of 32.2 km ( 20 miles), the quake hit at 23:50:57 UTC Friday 28th October 2011.
The epicenter was 176 km ( 109 miles) ENE of Ambon, Moluccas, Indonesia

5.5 Magnitude Earthquake NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU - 28th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.5 earthquake has struck near the Coast of Central Peru at a depth of 19.7 km ( 12.2 miles), the quake hit at 23:46:03 UTC Friday 28th October 2011.
The epicenter was 55 km ( 34 miles) SSW from Ica, Peru

5.0 Magnitude Earthquake NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU - 28th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.0 earthquake has struck near the Coast of Central Peru at a depth of 5.9 km ( 3.7 miles), the quake hit at 22:00:01 UTC Friday 28th October 2011.
The epicenter was 75 km ( 46 miles) SSW from Ica, Peru

7.0 Magnitude Earthquake NEAR THE COAST OF CENTRAL PERU - 28th Oct 2011

A magnitude 7.0 earthquake has struck near the Coast of Central Peru at a depth of 15 km ( 9.3 miles), the quake hit at 18:54:32 UTC Friday 28th October 2011.
The epicenter was 52 km ( 32 miles) South from Ica, Peru

Friday, October 28, 2011

5.2 Magnitude Earthquake SOLOMON ISLANDS - 28th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.2 earthquake has struck the Solomon Islands at a depth of 54.1 km ( 33.6 miles), the quake hit at 05:57:13 UTC Friday 28th October 2011.
The epicenter was 57 km ( 35 miles) WSW of Kira Kira, San Cristobal, Solomon Islands
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

5.0 Magnitude Earthquake OFFSHORE ATACAMA, CHILE - 28th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.0 earthquake has struck offshore Atacama, Chile at a depth of 42.2 km ( 26 miles), the quake hit at 04:27:19 UTC Friday 28th October 2011.
The epicenter was 107 km ( 66 miles) SSW of Taltal, Antofagasta, Chile
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

Note: USGS has this earthquake listed as a 4.9 Magnitude, out of the 23 stations 12 measured this earthquake between 5.2 - 6.0 Magnitude

Saif is in Niger says National Transitional Council, as discussions begin to bring him to trial at The Hague - 28th Oct 2011

Colonel Gaddafi’s son Saif al-Islam has crossed the Libyan border into Niger, a senior official in the National Transitional Council said last night (Thur).The official, who declined to be named for safety reasons, said: ‘There is a contact with Mali and with South Africa and with another neighbouring country to organise his exit.
‘He hasn’t got confirmation yet, he’s still waiting.’
Conflicting reports have arisen on an almost daily basis about his exact whereabouts, but this appears to be confirmation he has left Libya as many suspected he had.

A source with the NTC told Reuters the two surviving indictees were together, protected by Tuareg nomads.
Tuaregs were recruited by Gaddafi to fight as hired guns in Libya in the final months of the conflict.
'Saif is concerned about his safety,' the source said. 'He believes handing himself over is the best option for him.' Read More

5.5 Magnitude Earthquake FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA - 28th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.5 earthquake has struck the Fox Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska at a depth of 53.3 km ( 33.1 miles), the quake hit at 01:35:30 UTC Friday 28th October 2011.
The epicenter was 53 km ( 32 miles) SSW of Amulta Island, Alaska
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

5.0 Magnitude Earthquake OFF THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN - 27th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.0 earthquake has struck near the East Coast of Honshu at a depth of 42.6 km ( 26.5 miles), the quake hit at 18:06:25 UTC Thursday 27th October 2011.
The epicenter was 329 km ( 204 miles) ESE of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

Thursday, October 27, 2011

Chile begins evacuations as the Hudson volcano Stirs - ALERT STATUS RED - 27th Oct 2011

Chile said on Wednesday that it was evacuating residents from around a volcano in the country's far south after it spewed a jet of steam a kilometre into the air and seismic activity triggered an avalanche.

However, the government said the Hudson volcano, which lies around 1 600km south of the Chilean capital Santiago, comes in the wake of a string of eruptions at other volcanoes in Chile.

The Hudson volcano last erupted in 1991, melting part of the glacier that sits on the crater and triggering mud flows.

“We can't rule out that this volcanic activity could increase in the coming hours and produce an eruption,” said Interior Minister Rodrigo Hinzpeter.

He said state emergency office ONEMI was on red alert and the government was evacuating around 100 residents from the sparsely populated area as a precaution.

In June, a volcano in the Puyehue-Cordon Caulle volcanic chain, about 920km south of Santiago, erupted. It had been dormant for decades.

It belched an ash cloud kilometres high that blew over the Andes, carpeted a popular ski resort in neighbouring Argentina and caused havoc for air traffic for months, hurting airline profits. The ash grounded planes as far away as Australia and New Zealand.

That eruption in turn came after Chile's Chaiten volcano erupted spectacularly in 2008 for the first time in thousands of years, spewing molten rock and a vast cloud of ash that reached the stratosphere. The ash swelled a nearby river and ravaged a nearby town of the same name.

Chile's chain of about 2 000 volcanoes is the world's second largest after that of Indonesia. Between 50 and 60 are on record as having erupted, and 500 are potentially active. Source

5.2 Magnitude Earthquake EASTERN TURKEY, HAKKARI REGION - 27th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.2 earthquake has struck the Hakkari Region in Turkey near the Iraq Border at a depth of 14 km ( 8.7 miles), the quake hit at 08:04:23 UTC Thursday 27th October 2011.
The epicenter was 38 km ( 24 miles) SSE of Hakkari, Turkey

Bangkok faces worst flooding yet, governor warns - 27th Oct 2011

Bangkok faces the highest flood levels yet and is preparing for the worst, the governor of the Thai capital told CNN.Residents are urged to flee the rising floodwaters, which have already forced the closure of Bangkok's Don Muang airport and the evacuation of flood victims who have taken refuge there.
Thailand's government has declared a five-day public holiday in flood-affected provinces to try to encourage people to seek safety elsewhere before high tides expected this weekend.
But Bangkok Gov. Sukhumbhand Paripatra told CNN the authorities could not evacuate a whole city and it was difficult to persuade the Thai people to leave their homes, despite the risk.
"Apparently there will be large volume of water runoff coming toward the city tonight onwards, and over the weekend," he said. "At the point of high tide, it will be very high, the highest this year. We are bracing for the worse." Read More

5.2 Magnitude Earthquake NEAR LAKE TAUPO, NEW ZEALAND - 26th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.2 earthquake has struck near Lake Taupo, New Zealand at a depth of 110 km ( 68.2 miles), the quake hit at 19:32 UTC Wednesday 26th October 2011.
The epicenter was 20 km ( 12.4 miles) Northwest of Turangi, New Zealand
No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

Magnitude 6.0 - FIJI REGION

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude	6.0
Date-Time	Thursday, October 27, 2011 at 00:15:25 UTC Thursday, October 27, 2011 at 12:15:25 PM at epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location	17.914°S, 179.424°W
Depth	611.9 km (380.2 miles)
Region	FIJI REGION
Distances	208 km (129 miles) SE of Lambasa, Vanua Levu, Fiji 230 km (142 miles) E of SUVA, Viti Levu, Fiji 312 km (193 miles) NNW of Ndoi Island, Fiji 2177 km (1352 miles) NNE of Auckland, New Zealand
Location Uncertainty	horizontal +/- 15.9 km (9.9 miles); depth +/- 10.3 km (6.4 miles)
Parameters	NST=372, Nph=472, Dmin=268.3 km, Rmss=0.95 sec, Gp= 76°, M-type=regional moment magnitude (Mw), Version=4
Source	Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D) Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID	usb0006edd

Chile evacuates residents as Hudson volcano stirs

Chile said on Wednesday it was evacuating residents from around a volcano in the country's far south after it spewed a jet of steam a kilometer into the air and seismic activity triggered an avalanche.

However, the government said the Hudson volcano, which lies around 1,000 miles (1,600 km) south of the Chilean capital Santiago, comes in the wake of a string of eruptions at other volcanoes in Chile.

The Hudson volcano last erupted in 1991, melting part of the glacier that sits on the crater and triggering mud flows.

"We can't rule out that this volcanic activity could increase in the coming hours and produce an eruption," said Interior Minister Rodrigo Hinzpeter.

He said state emergency office ONEMI was on red alert and the government was evacuating around 100 residents from the sparsely populated area as a precaution.

In June, a volcano in the Puyehue-Cordon Caulle volcanic chain, about 575 miles (920 km) south of Santiago, erupted. It had been dormant for decades. [ID:nN04119145]

It belched an ash cloud miles (kilometers) high that blew over the Andes, carpeted a popular ski resort in neighboring Argentina and caused havoc for air traffic for months, hurting airline profits. The ash grounded planes as far away as Australia and New Zealand.

That eruption in turn came after Chile's Chaiten volcano erupted spectacularly in 2008 for the first time in thousands of years, spewing molten rock and a vast cloud of ash that reached the stratosphere. The ash swelled a nearby river and ravaged a nearby town of the same name.

Chile's chain of about 2,000 volcanoes is the world's second largest after that of Indonesia. Some 50 to 60 are on record as having erupted, and 500 are potentially active. source

The end of the world is nigh - or is it? Carl Johan Calleman points out October 28th as a "day of change"

Now it's Carl Johan Calleman's turn to claim that the end of the world is nigh.

All things going to plan, tomorrow will be the end of the world. As the “plan” was set out by some looney tune who lives in a Swedish backwater, I wouldn’t count on it. But just in case Carl Johan Calleman has somehow alighted on the truth, I should at least mention his claims so that you can’t say I didn’t warn you (not that you’ll be able to say anything at all, it being the end of the world).

Calleman believes that the end of the Mayan Long Count Calendar is October 28, 2011, and not, as was previously thought, December next year. If you are wondering what on earth – or any other planet, for that matter – qualifies Calleman to make such assertions, then let me enlighten you: in the Nineties, he quit his job as a scientist to concentrate full-time on solving the “age-old thought structures” of the Maya people.

“It seemed to me,” says Calleman on his website, “that it would be of greater value to humanity if I could solve the Mayan calendar, than if I could solve the riddle of cancer.”

I feel a tad sorry for the Mesoamerican Maya, an advanced civilisation who have, in recent years, been made to look as if they couldn’t organise a party in a brewery (or perhaps they could – they’d just send out invites for the wrong date). more

Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Hurricane Rina lumbers toward Mexican resort towns

Residents and worried travelers in Cancun stocked up on supplies Tuesday as forecasters warned that Hurricane Rina could hit the popular Mexican resort city.Carla Bautista bought bread, water and canned tuna.
"It's my first hurricane. This is new. ... I'm a little afraid, because I don't know what to expect," said Bautista, 28, who moved to Cancun two months ago from Mexico City.
Mexican officials issued a hurricane warning for the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from north of Punta Gruesa to Cancun as the Category 2 storm strengthened. Similarly, U.S. officials issued a travel alert, advising U.S. citizens in the area to prepare themselves for the possibility of a hurricane.
Rina was packing 110 mph winds Tuesday night and moving at 3 mph, according to the Miami-based National Hurricane Center. Forecasters said it could become a Category 3 hurricane later Tuesday or Wednesday.
Some tourists decided not to take any chances. Read More

5.3 Magnitude Earthquake KEPULAUAN MENTAWAI REGION, INDONESIA

A magnitude 5.3 earthquake has struck the Kepulauan Mentawai Region, Indonesia at a depth of 20.3 km ( 12.6 miles), the quake hit at 03:38:50 UTC Wednesday 26th October 2011.
The epicenter was 173 km ( 107 miles) SSW from Padang, Sumatra, Indonesia
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

5.2 Magnitude Earthquake AISEN, CHILE

A magnitude 5.2 earthquake has struck Aisen, Chile at a depth of 13.4 km ( 8.3 miles), the quake hit at 22:08:43 UTC Tuesday 25th October 2011.
The epicenter was 53 km ( 32 miles) WSW of Coihaique, Aisen, Chile
No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

5.2 Magnitude Earthquake VANUATU - 26th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.2 earthquake has struck Vanuatu at a depth of 150 km ( 93.6 miles), the quake hit at 19:34:20 UTC Tuesday 25th October 2011.
The epicenter was 58 km ( 36 miles) NNE of Santo (Luganville), Vanuatu
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

5.3 Magnitude Earthquake IZU ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION - 25th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.3 earthquake has struck The Izu Islands, Japan at a depth of 10.2 km ( 6.3 miles), the quake hit at 19:34:12 UTC Tuesday 25th October 2011.
The epicenter was 180 km ( 111 miles) Southwest of Hachijo-Jima, Izu Islands, Japan
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Downpour floods homes and shops as torrential rain hits the United Kingdom - 22 FLOOD ALERTS ISSUED - 25th Oct 2011

Reader Contribution;
Floods swept through homes and businesses last night, as torrential rain and strong winds brought an end to the second wave of autumn sunshine.
After a sunny weekend and temperatures up to 20c last week, dark clouds descended on the west of the country from Sunday night – and the rain had barely stopped by nightfall yesterday.
Water was pumped out of homes and shops in Cornwall by firemen, with coastal areas bracing themselves for a month’s worth of rainfall in just a few hours.
The Environment Agency, which has issued 22 flood alerts along the country’s shoreline, warned those at risk to sandbag their properties.
A spokesman said: ‘Today’s forecast means that there is a strong likelihood of property flooding. We are urging people to protect themselves and their properties. Read More

Earthquake Activity Has Increased 157%

The Number and Strength of Earthquakes Has Increased Substantially Over the Last Decade January 29, 2011
Sherwood Ensey

From the beginning of 2000 to the end of 2009 the number of earthquakes increased substantially, when compared to the previous ten years. This is fact and not fiction.

From January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2009 there were 22,270 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.0 and greater.

From January 1, 1990 to December 31, 1999 there were 14,193 earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.0 and greater.

This represents a 157% increase in earthquake activity over the previous decade.

The standard argument against the increase in earthquake activity has been that there are more seismic instruments. More instruments equates to it looking like there is more earthquake activity. This is a falsehood, but it is an argument which gets a lot of play and that many people buy into, quickly dismissing the facts themselves.

Seismic instruments are extremely sensitive and can pick up seismic activity from around the planet, especially those that are over 5.0 in magnitude. This is the main reason the magnitude of 5.0 was chosen for this study. The addition of more seismic instruments is primarily used to breakdown the quality of the seismic activity itself, such as the depth, the location, and other factors related to the earthquake. More seismic instruments equates to better quality seismic readings. Sometimes this applies to the magnitude of an earthquake, but most of the time more instruments are used to better qualify the different factors of an earthquake. This is an explanation that is rarely if ever offered to the public by the so-called earthquake experts who downplay the increase in earthquake activity; they go with the standard argument that more instruments equals more earthquakes in order to bolster their argument that there has not been an increase in earthquakes, when in actuality the numbers clearly show there has been an increase in earthquake activity.

The numbers presented in this study also show that the strength of earthquakes has also increased.

Magnitude 7.0 and above earthquakes have increased by an even greater percentage. From 2000 to 2010 earthquakes over 7.0 in magnitude increased by 197%.

From January 1, 2000 to December 31, 2009 there were 227 earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or greater. Over the same time span, a decade earlier there was only 115 earthquakes of the same magnitude, 7.0, or greater.

So not only have earthquakes increased in number, they have also increased in strength. Both by an alarming number!

5.2 Magnitude Earthquake ASCENSION ISLAND REGION - 25th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.2 earthquake has struck the Ascension Island Region at a depth of 10 km ( 6.2 miles), the quake hit at 06:07:31 UTC Tuesday 25th October 2011.
The epicenter was 411 km ( 255 miles) South of Ascension Island
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

5.8 Magnitude Earthquake FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA - 25th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.8 earthquake has struck the Fox Islands, Aleutian Islands, Alaska at a depth of 59.2 km ( 36.8 miles), the quake hit at 03:24:52 UTC Tuesday 25th October 2011.
The epicenter was 53 km ( 32 miles) Southwest of Amukta Island, Alaska
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

5.0 Magnitude Earthquake JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION - 25th Oct 2011

A magnitude 5.0 earthquake has struck the Jan Mayen Island Region at a depth of 16.6 km ( 10.3 miles), the quake hit at 02:32:22 UTC Tuesday 25th October 2011.
The epicenter was 613 km ( 380 miles) East of Ittoqqortoormiit (Scoresbysund), Greenland
No Tsunami Warning Issued - No Reports of Injuries or Damage at this time

Tropical Storm RINA strengthens to a hurricane, 27 Missing in Nicaragua - 25th Oct 2011

Rina strengthened to a Category 1 hurricane off the coast of Central America on Monday, as officials in Nicaragua searched for more than two dozen missing storm evacuees.A navy boat ferrying people between the Miskito Cays and Puerto Cabezas, on the eastern coast, was reported missing on Sunday, according to Vice Adm. Roger Gonzalez of the Nicaraguan navy. Twenty-seven people were on board, he said.
Forecasters warn that the storm will strengthen further before making landfall later this week.
Readings from a reconnaissance aircraft showed the storm had 75 mph maximum sustained winds, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami. As of 5 p.m. ET, Rina was centered about 195 miles southwest of Grand Cayman island and 355 miles east-southeast of Chetumal, Mexico.
The storm was moving west-northwest at 3 mph, the forecast center said, and could strengthen to a Category 3 hurricane in the next 48 hours. Read More

On This Day In World Weather History – 25 October

Monday, October 24, 2011

Turkey fears volcano eruption, Nemrut Dağı Volcano, Lake Van, Eastern Turkey - 24th Oct 2011

TURKISH seismologists fear that the earthquakes that hit the province of Van on Sunday can cause eruption of Nemrut volcano located northwards of Lake Van, PanArmenian reported.

Mt Nemrut is near Tatvan, a small town in the eastern Anatolian province of Bitlis. The mountain rises from the southwestern shore of Lake Van, and enters the district of Ahlat to the north. Source

Nemrut Dağı

Mt Nemrut Dağı is a dormant volcano close to lake Van, near Tatvan a small town in Eastern Anatolian Province of Bitlis, Eastern Turkey. The Mountain rises from the Southwestern Shore of Lake Van at a height of 3.050 m (10.007 ft)

The caldera has a Diameter of 7 by 8 km (4 by 5 Miles) and contains a large cold-water crater lake of about 155 m (509 ft) deep.

There is also a smaller lake where waters reach temperatures of 60 C (140 F) providing Evidence of volcanic activity.

Last known eruption 1597